What’s so special about short selling?

by Kris_Tuttle on April 10, 2009

I can’t quite fig­ure out why the gov­ern­ment and peo­ple in gen­eral are eager to enact new rules like the uptick rule and indi­vid­ual stock cir­cuit break­ers to com­bat short-selling as if it’s an evil thing.

I do under­stand how aggres­sive short sell­ing can dis­rupt a sit­u­a­tion where lever­age is used or other forced actions are required based on price action and val­u­a­tion changes.  I’d say these sit­u­a­tions need to be dealt with fun­da­men­tally and not by try­ing to pro­tect some­thing which is obvi­ously unsta­ble by lim­it­ing the abil­ity of the mar­kets to cor­rect it.

Here are the rea­sons that this line of attack seems unreasonable:

1. Short sell­ers are fairly small in rela­tion to mar­kets over­all.  While they can be felt in focused areas, funds avail­able for short-selling are small in rela­tion to pool of assets that can make long invest­ments.  Short sell­ing can make a real impact when it is focused and espe­cially where mar­kets are thin.  But they are far too small to be labeled as being a major part of the prob­lem.  They may have been a cat­a­lyst to accel­er­ate or cause some bad struc­tures to tum­ble but they are not strong enough in and of them­selves to be a pri­mary factor.

2. There are a vari­ety of rea­sons to sell short, most of them are neu­tral or pos­i­tive, not evil.  For exam­ple we use short posi­tions as a way to lessen our mar­ket and sec­tor risk against our long port­fo­lio.  It sta­bi­lizes our over­all equity value and allows us to fur­ther enhance our returns based on good stock selec­tion.  For exam­ple one would want a long pos­tion in Apple based on their strong fun­da­men­tals but a year ago the stock was hov­er­ing between $160 and $180.  So even though a long posi­tion in AAPL is “cor­rect” from a research stand­point (at least ours) the val­u­a­tion and mar­ket risk means that today you are down mate­ri­ally if you didn’t take some risk-limiting or buffer­ing action.  Most effi­cient asset allo­ca­tions would include short sell­ing or short posi­tions as part of an over­all strategy.

3. Options and deriv­a­tives are another way to have a short posi­tion. One can sell calls, buy puts or enter elab­o­rate com­bi­na­tions of con­tracts to effec­tively estab­lish a “syn­thetic short” any­way.  If you’re large enough, bro­kers like Gold­man Sachs or JP Mor­gan can even cre­ate a spe­cial con­tract for you that isn’t even traded in the pub­lic mar­ket.   So focus­ing on just one method of being short (short­ing sell­ing the stock) seems odd.

4. What about rules on the other side of the ledger?  What about funds that buy stocks, espe­cially thin ones, at the end of the quar­ter to enhance quar­terly returns?  What about investors and some­times man­age­ments that tar­get a stock with a large short posi­tion and inten­tion­ally try and “squeeze the shorts” to goose the price of a stock?  There are just as many abuses by unscrupu­lous types on the long side as the short side.  Spread­ing a false pos­i­tive rumor can be just as effec­tive (and ille­gal) as spread­ing a neg­a­tive one and being posi­tioned to make prof­its from the likely mar­ket reaction.

There do appear to be areas like fail to deliver and oth­ers that make sense to crack down on.  Tar­get­ing a type of invest­ment seems just plain wrong if a mar­ket is to func­tion prop­erly.  Short sell­ers con­tributed to the drop in PALM to $1.20 just a few short months ago.  We were only too pleased to buy stock there thank you very much.  That’s what makes a market.

Spec­u­la­tors and investors long or short are putting their cap­i­tal at risk.  Their rewards and pun­ish­ments are meted out by the mar­ket.  Bad deci­sions and man­age­ment brings one to ruin, good deci­sions backed up by strong research, val­u­a­tion analy­sis and risk man­age­ment make you rich.  Hasn’t all this already been cov­ered already some­where like “Mar­kets & Invest­ing 101?”

Not happy to be up on the soap­box so I’ll get off now. ;-)

[Dis­clo­sure: Research 2.0 main­tains a small, actively man­aged port­fo­lio of tech­nol­ogy stocks to put our ongo­ing research con­clu­sions for val­i­da­tion.  Risk man­age­ment includes a dynamic adjust­ment of posi­tion sizes and the use of short posi­tions and options.]

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